Reshaping Energy Sector in the Baltics: Towards Energy
Independence
by Andrius Šimkus
Energy security is ability of the State to choose how and under what conditions local
consumers are to be provided with energy and energy resources. This ability is mainly
determined by alternatives for usage of local energy sources, diversified imports, integrity of
energy systems, and market-based formation of energy prices. Today the Baltic States –
Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia – do not have such ability, being isolated from the energy
community of the rest of EU, dependent on the sole supplier of natural gas, and possessing
limited alternatives for internal energy production.
Energy security and energy independence Energy security is one of the main challenges of
today’s global energy policy. Energy dependence on external factors does not only increase threats to
national security, economic wealth, formation of internal policies, but also to daily social processes,
which are highly influenced by increasing energy and consumption prices and decreasing purchasing
power of consumers. Energy is one of the cornerstones of modern welfare State, based on
common system and logics of political, technological, economic and regulatory decisions.
Even if technological and economic factors should be decisive in every discussion on energy security,
as enabling for sound evaluation of the State’s selected energy policy guidelines, however, mostly
due to the tendencies of geopolitical energy influence, the energy future is being shaped by
political decisions and implementing regulatory mechanisms. And definitely this is not only a specificity of the Baltics.
For instance, decision to suspend development of nuclear energy and to renounce any use of nuclear
power generation capacities by 2022, as it was made in Germany last year, was based solely on
political causes without due attention to opposing opinions of energy and economy experts. Such decision resulted in significantly increased dependence on imported electricity produced in
French nuclear power plants and Russian natural gas. In principle the analogous result was also
reached in Lithuania after implementation of the EU accession requirement for decommissioning of the Ignalina nuclear power plant. Initial decision was taken hastily, without timely assurances for
technological and financial alternatives. And at the end of the day Lithuania, and the entire Baltic region,
faces energy deficit, energy isolation from the rest of EU, full dependence on energy imports and onesided dictate of energy prices.
This is only a couple of examples how political and regulatory decisions do influence long-term impact to
the energy system, as well as overall economic development of the State. Energy security is not only
a topicality for the Baltics. The 2009 natural gas crisis in Ukraine perfectly revealed that Central
Europe is also vulnerably dependent on natural gas imports from Russia. Energy independence from imports of fossil fuels is also one of the priorities of the presidential office of the USA. In fact most of
energy sector decisions are inevitably related to regional or even international impacts.
Last few years in the Baltic region are very active in a sense of energy related processes: political and
regulatory decisions are being taken to accelerate implementation of strategic energy infrastructure
projects with a decisive influence for development of energy sector in the region during the upcoming
decades. Strategic framework for such decisions is being drawn by national energy strategies targeted
at long-term development of energy sector structured so as to eliminate current isolation from
the rest of EU, dependence of energy imports from Russia, as well as to implement high-ranked
objectives of competitive energy markets and sustainable energy development.
Energy trends in the Baltics: fight for diversified supply
Development of the energy sector constantly remains among the top strategic priorities of national
policies in the Baltic States. Current realities of energy isolation from the rest of EU with no westdirected gas interconnections and single electricity cross-border connection between Estonia and Finland make the dependence on energy imports from Russia as a constant aspiration to establish
effectively functioning alternatives for supply of energy and energy resources, to challenge
excessive pricing of fossil fuels and to increase security and reliability of supply in a sustainable
manner. All three Baltic States may be seen as facing different priorities for development of energy
infrastructure, varying national strategies and political interests, however, the general issue of
energy dependence is commonly at stake.
One of the major streamlines of the energy sector in the Baltics – establishment of capacities for
diversified supply of energy and energy resources – leads towards development of local energy
production capacities. As the Baltic region in general is not rich in conventional fossil fuels, development
of alternative energy generation capacities is seen as the only option to decrease the role of energy
imports. It must be noted, however, that Estonia is exceptional from other Baltic States and within entire
Europe for its ability to ensure its energy independence with indigenous energy source – oil
shale. At the same time it is a CO2 intensive fuel, thus the diversification of energy mix is also an
important trend.
To ensure the base load electricity generation the Visaginas nuclear power plant is being developed in
Lithuania together with Latvian, Estonian and Japanese investors. The new nuclear power plant is
expected to be launched by 2020 thus getting the Baltic region out of the pit of electricity deficit that
deepens increasingly after decommissioning of the Ignalina nuclear power plant at the end of 2009. Also
enhanced investments into renewable energy, especially biomass and wind, is seen as a regional
target not only to reach the EU-determined objectives of 20-20-20, but also to exploit local
potential of non-fossil energy sources and to have a diversified variety of independent generation capacities. Support schemes based on the state subsidies increase the attractiveness of renewable
energy sector in the Baltics both for local and international investors.
As for natural gas sector, the current Gazprom import monopoly and excessive price dictation forces
to look for diversification of import sources and creating a substantial regulatory background for
competitive natural gas market. Latvia and Estonia are rushing for the EU support among different regional LNG projects; Lithuania already started development of the LNG terminal in the Klaipeda sea
port based on local investments. Feasibility of constructing the natural gas interconnections is
being investigated as well. And finally, formation of national or even regional natural gas trading platforms, together with future alternative supply capacities and gas storage abilities, is expected to
increase liquidity and competitiveness of the natural gas markets. Possible extent of the shale gas potential is intensively under investigation – shale gas exploitation tender in Lithuania is planned
already this year and well-known international companies have already expressed their interest.
Another streamline, mainly pushed forward by implementing the EU third energy package, is
liberalization of energy markets via unrestricted energy trading options and unbundling of vertically
integrated electricity and natural gas monopolies. All three Baltic States took a different gear to progress
with opening of energy markets, however, at least for electricity trading this year are planned as Nord Pool
Spot’s final entrance into the Baltics thus integrating local power markets into the Nordic market. The
Baltic Energy Market Interconnection Plan, approved by the European Commission and the Member States around the Baltic Sea, focuses on full EU integration of the Baltic energy markets by 2015.
Development of alternative power generation capacities, construction of new cross-border
interconnections with Finland (from Estonia), Sweden and Poland (from Lithuania), investments
into renewable energy sources, diversified supply of natural gas, as well as EU-directed integration of
energy markets and systems are seen as the main trends shaping the regional energy market in the
Baltics and defining the core standpoints to be reached at various levels of energy policy, infrastructure and regulatory background.
LAWIN active in regional energy shift
LAWIN, with its offices in all three Baltic States, is constantly involved into major regional energy infrastructure projects and commercial transactions. Our experience was built in different fields of energy sector, including nuclear, electricity, gas, oil, oil shale, heat and renewables, by providing assistance in making the most important decisions forming the energy future in the Baltics. As the biggest law firm in the Baltics we assure that the most difficult projects are realized with the high level services provided by the best specialists particularly practicing in energy and utilities and other specialized areas. Our constantly growing team of Industry & Regulatory experts advises on multidisciplinary industry sectors and participates in all the biggest and strategically significant energy and infrastructure projects in the Baltic region and offers every kind of specialized legal services. The LAWIN
Energy & Utilities team’s consistent involvement in major regional energy projects and initiatives
resulted in thorough knowledge, expertise and competences in the sector. This enables LAWIN to
assist the world’s major trans-national and top national companies in complex and innovative transactions.
Currently LAWIN has the biggest team of lawyers and the only integrated pan-Baltic team, which is
daily involved in energy projects and transactions throughout the region. Our regional energy deal
highlights may be illustrated by top projects and transaction in each particular energy sector. Just to
name the few of past energy sector projects and transactions, we were involved in privatization of the
Mazeikiai oil refinery and Latvian Gas company, several reforms of electricity and natural gas sectors
in all three Baltic States, transposition of the EU renewable energy regulation into the national
legislations, development of the very first renewable energy power plants in the Baltics, construction of
the first and so far the only EU-linked electricity interconnection between Estonia and Finland,
construction of electricity reserve power plant in Estonia, reconstruction of thermo-power plant TEC-2
in Latvia, establishing power exchange in Lithuania, assisting for integration of local power markets to the
Nordic market, and others.
Having in mind their overall dimension and profile, energy and infrastructure projects do remain one of
the top priority targets for our law firm. It is not only a professional challenge to be at the cutting edge of rapidly developing energy law and business practices, but also a social responsibility to share our
knowledge and expertise in making right decisions under appropriate circumstances. Energy
independence of the Baltic region is still a long way to go and thus any incentive requires for due
understanding between and joint actions by public authorities, energy companies and lawyers.
Post scriptum
Impartial observer could hear continuous discussions in each of the Baltic States and at very
different levels of society, knowledge and interests, whether the region has to be structured as based on
nuclear energy, renewable energy sources or diversified natural gas supply. Very often these
discussions lead to open opposition towards one or another source of energy or even escalation of the
inborn evilness of certain energy projects in progress. Economic value of such projects,
magnitude of commercial interests and geopolitical influences once again tend to strike the energy
independence future in the Baltics.
However, such discussion leading to set-off against separate energy sources is very much perverse in
itself; this is not a time for demarcation between different energy sectors, but for creating integral
diversified systems of self-sufficient and flexible satisfaction of the consumer’s needs. The future
belongs to energy based on alternatives, which should ensure the State’s ability to choose safe,
reliable and economically sound ways for shaping its energy balance. The entirety of energy projects in
the region and their intensity allows declaring general understanding of this strategic guideline,
however, further efforts, regional integrity and international awareness is still needed to foster
current incentives in the Baltics.
We live in a global world where conventional energy sources are expiring, new technologies are
expensive, but the number of people and their needs are increasing tremendously. It could be hardly expected for the energy prices to decrease, but today’s political and regulatory decisions will determine whether the Baltic States would remain the EU-level energy player and would sustain sufficient abilities for choosing its energy future and thus – the course of their economic development.