The
irony of many reactions to national and international responses to climate
change is that such reactions are very often deeply misinformed and, likely for
this reason, tend to emphasise the negatives and the risks associated with the
climate change response. The fact is that the climate change response offers as
many opportunities as it does risks and it is the balance of risk and opportunity
that must be achieved, both to provide a response that is in accordance with
current science and which will serve national and international economic
interest into the future.
In
December 2013 the City of Johannesburg hosted a Business Dialogue to Reduce the Impact of Climate Change and, in
his keynote address, the (then) City of Joburg Mayor, Mr. Parks Tau, indicated
that, “In order to mitigate carbon dioxide emissions and drive sustainable
green innovation within economies and industries, more collaboration and new
methods of business need to be implemented between public and private sectors.”
There are at least important truths implicit in this statement. The first is
that the anthropogenic carbon footprint must be urgently curtailed; and, the
second is that in limiting human-induced carbon emissions lies the potential
for new business and collaboration across and between sectors.
The
context for these truths is the recent confirmation, by the Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change that human activities are accelerating natural cycles
of climate change to a degree that, unless action is taken to limit this
acceleration, will seriously endanger the economic, environmental and social
bases upon which human society is founded (www.ipcc.ch).
In its National Climate Change Response Policy (November 2011), the national
Department of Environmental Affairs (DEA) makes the point that responding to
climate change is a long-term exercise and one which seeks to protect the
viability of the economy beyond 2030. This timeframe is illustrative of the
tension between how we respond to climate change and how we organise our
economic and political lives. The planning and institutional periods associated
with the latter tend to limit decisions on how to respond to the former. In
short, it is a brave political administration that will implement the measures
necessary to respond to climate change when such measures might jeopardise the
outcome of the next general election. It is to the DEA’s credit that it
continues to work on the national climate change response, while focussing on
the risks and opportunities that arise.
As
one might expect, responses to climate change currently occupying political
decision-makers across the globe, while the information at their disposal
becomes increasing detailed. For example, on 27 March 2014 a report was
released entitled Climate Change Resilience in Europe which reports that major companies across Europe are already
experiencing climate change impacts on their business and are taking the issue
seriously, including implementing forward planning and budgeting. This is
unsurprising as it was the Association of British Insurers that comprehensively
recognized international environmental change as the major risk to their
business, as early as 2005.
In order to identify risks and opportunities that
climate change poses to the private sector, the report analyses adaptation data
disclosed by 270 of the largest listed European companies from 20 countries and
considers:
which
sectors are already feeling the effects of climate change; which
companies are taking action; which
companies have the most to lose and across what timeframes; how
different sectors will be impacted; and, how
regional differences may manifest in planning and responses to climate change.
The report concludes as
follows:
Businesses identify two climate change risks
for every one climate change opportunity. The most often cited risk is a reduction or
disruption in production capacity Two in five companies anticipate increased
demand for existing goods and services. One in five companies expect new products or
services to be profitable in a changing climate. Risks are perceived differently across
sectors, with financial companies accounting for nearly one third of all
critical risks mentioned in the survey.
Similar
work has been undertaken in South Africa (http://www.tips.org.za/climate-change-risks-and-opportunities-south-african-economy) that indicates that there are risks and
opportunities for South African economies which could bear further analysis.
The importance of the message that while climate change
poses unprecedented risk to the economy, a correctly modulated response to the
challenge will result in a more resilient private and public sector and it is
in the cooperation between these sectors, in agreeing upon and implementing the
response that the foundation for the future will lie.
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